Bitcoin Bears in Control as the Year Comes to an End

Bitcoin – Bears in Control as the Year Comes to an End

Bitcoin – Bears in Control as the Year Comes to an End

It’s back in the red for Bitcoin and how the year ends could be a signal of just what’s to come through the early part of New Year.

Bitcoin gained 2.14% on Sunday, partially reversing a 3.54% fall on Saturday, to end the day at $3,977.3.

A bullish start to the week failed to deliver another cryptomarket rally off the back of the previous week’s 23.4% gain, with Bitcoin ending the week down 2.34% and of greater significance, back at sub-$4,000 levels.

Following a late in the day sell-off on Saturday, Bitcoin fell to a start of a day intraday low $3,838.9, holding above the day’s first major support level at $3,802.3 before finding support.

There were no fireworks through the day, with Bitcoin only managing a move through to a mid-day intraday high $4,003.8 before easing back, with sub-$3,900 support holding Bitcoin back from a slide back to $3,800 levels.

The moves through the day saw Bitcoin come within range of the first major resistance level at $4,042.70 and the first major support level at $3,802.3.

For the Bitcoin bulls a run at $5,000 levels was needed before the year was out to shift the negative sentiment that has plagued Bitcoin and the broader market since the return of crypto volatility in late October.

Failing to hold onto $4,000 levels in the week will continue to raise doubts over whether Bitcoin has bottomed out or is about to get hit by another sell-off that would deliver the widely predicted sub-$3,000 floor.

The bearish sentiment has seen Ethereum close the market cap gap on Ripple’s XRP, with Ethereum looking ripe to retake the 2nd spot, though much will depend on the Token Taxonomy Act, a recovery in the ICO market only a good thing for Ethereum that has struggled over the year.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down 1.75% to $3,907.9, with moves through the early morning seeing Bitcoin slide from a start of a day morning high $3,986.9 to an early morning low $3,873.4, Bitcoin calling on support at the first major support level at $3,876.2, whilst falling short of $4,000 levels and the first major resistance level at $4,041.1.

For the day ahead, a hold onto $3,900 levels through the morning would support a move through the morning high to bring $4,000 levels and the first major resistance level at $4,041.1 into play, with sentiment across the broader market to play a hand in how Bitcoin closes out the day.

Early moves and a failure at the start of the day for Bitcoin to break through to $4,000 levels will likely weigh through the morning.

Failure to hold onto $3,900 levels through the morning could see Bitcoin slide back through the morning low $3,873.4 to bring $3,700 levels and the second major support level at $3,775.1 into play before any recovery.

The way the year is coming to a close, it could be a tough start to 2019 and if there’s no good news from regulators, it may be more than just a tough January.

Bob Mason

FXEmpire 57 minutes ago

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis -BTC Holding Key Uptrend Support

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis -BTC Holding Key Uptrend Support

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis -BTC Holding Key Uptrend Support

Key Points

  • Bitcoin price declined recently towards the $3,560 support area against the US Dollar.

  • There is a key bullish trend line formed with support $3,680 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

  • The pair is currently holding a crucial support and it could bounce back above $3,800 and $3,900.

Bitcoin price is holding the key uptrend support near $3,600 against the US Dollar. BTC/USD is likely to resume its upward move above $4,000 in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

This past week, bitcoin price started a major downside move from the $4,235 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair traded below the $4,000 and $3,800 support levels. However, the price found support near the $3,550 level and later started an upward move. More importantly, the price stayed above the $3,500 pivot level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).

The price jumped above $3,800 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,235 high to $3,563 low. However, the price failed to clear the $3,980 and $4,000 resistance area. Besides, the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,235 high to $3,563 low also acted as a resistance. There was yet another downside move, but the $3,675 level acted as a support. Finally, there is a key bullish trend line formed with support $3,680 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. If there is a break below the trend line, the price decline towards $3,550 or $3,500.

Looking at the chart, BTC price seems to trading above important support levels near $3,600. On the upside, buyers need to clear the $3,900 and $4,000 resistance levels for more gains. The next major resistance is near the $4,080 and $4,200 levels.

Looking at the technical indicators:

4-hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is likely to move back into the bearish zone.

4-hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is currently below the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $3,550

Major Resistance Level – $4,000

 

AAYUSH JINDAL | DECEMBER 30, 2018 | 5:00 AM

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

Bitcoin Breakouayt that didn’t happen – sidews days in the year ahead

Bitcoin Breakout that didn't happen - sideways days in the year ahead

Bitcoin Breakout that didn't happen – sideways days in the year ahead

  • BTC broke out of Cup and Handle pattern, but gave up.

  • Consolidation is the way ahead in the new year.

Bitcoin, the poster boy of cryptocurrency world, did break out of the cup and handle pattern on the charts, as pointed by this author last week, but only to give up again, in a sign that bulls too are on Christmas vacation alongwith bears.

BTC/USD is down about two cents of a percent at $3,881 and trading in less than 2 percent range for the day in a thinly traded weekend as well as year-end trading. On the 180-minute chart, this largest crypto by market cap, did break out of the cup and handle pattern by crossing past $4,200 resistance line, but couldn't sustain it. Resulting into prices going below the very trendline they broke out of.

Although, after the claw back, prices found support at 21 days SMA around $3,576, while upside still seems capped around $4,200, signalling consolidation ahead as the new year dawns.

BTC/USD 180-minute chart:

 

 

Manoj B Rawal

FXStreet

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

BTC Turned Bearish Below 3800

BTC Turned Bearish Below $3,800

BTC Turned Bearish Below $3,800

Key Points

  • Bitcoin price struggled to gain traction above the $3,840 and $3,900 resistance levels against the US Dollar.

  • Yesterday’s highlighted major bearish trend line is intact with resistance at $3,720 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

  • The price is currently trading in a bearish zone and it could extend losses below $3,500.

Bitcoin price is under pressure below $3,800 against the US Dollar. BTC may correct a few points, but it remains sell on rallies near $3,720 and $3,800.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

There was an increase in selling pressure on bitcoin price after it failed to clear the $3,850 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair started a downside move and broke the $3,800 and $3,700 support levels. It even broke the $3,600 level and traded as low as $3,563. There could be a short term correction from $3,563, but the price is trading well below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

An initial resistance is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $3,855 high to $3,563 low. Moreover, yesterday’s highlighted major bearish trend line is intact with resistance at $3,720 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Finally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $3,855 high to $3,563 low is near the trend line. Therefore, if there is an upside correction, the price is likely to struggle near $3,720 and $3,800. A proper break above the trend line and the $3,800 resistance is needed for a decent upward move. If not, the price may continue to decline and it may even break the $3,500 support in the near term.

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price seems to be trading with a bearish angle below $3,720 and there are chances of more losses.

Looking at the technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is moving with a bearish angle below the 40 level.

Major Support Level – $3,500

Major Resistance Level – $3,720
 

AAYUSH JINDAL | DECEMBER 28, 2018 | 6:00 AM

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

Building for Bulls Bears and the Crypto Revolution

Building for Bulls, Bears, and the Crypto Revolution

Building for Bulls, Bears, and the Crypto Revolution

Last year, I ended my 2017 Year in Review piece with the following statement:

“Those who change the world don’t always set out to do so. All it takes is a decision to do something today, do it better tomorrow, and to not stop doing it…ever. One day, you’ll lean back, zoom out and realize the peaks and valleys that have consumed you were just the runway and the real lift-off has yet to occur.”

It seems fitting to start my review this year with the same statement and observe how its meaning kaleidoscopes in the new light of 2018.

For context, in December 2017, the price of bitcoin had just hit its all-time high of $19,783.06. The price of ether was about to hit its all-time high of $1,417.38. CryptoKitties were running rampant all over the ethereum network, thousands of ICOs had launched in 2017 and hundreds of dedicated crypto funds opened their doors.

Today, the environment is a bit different. Those crypto funds are starting to shut down. ICOs that raised capital in crypto in 2017 have seen their runways halved and halved again. The price of bitcoin hovers around $3,500 and the price of ether plummeted below $100. CryptoKitties has a meagre 378 daily active users, down from over 15,000 daily active users this time last year. Ouch.

What I failed to mention with last year’s statement is that the runway isn’t always smooth and it isn’t going to be at a constant incline.

As Meltem Demirors so gracefully put it, “Tech that changes industries and markets doesn’t get built overnight. There are fits, starts, and failures.” Obviously, this market is throwing a fit. Furthermore, us builders should talk about it.

But Builders Don’t Talk About Price

For as long as I can remember, it’s been a significant taboo for builders in the space to talk about price. The market conditions shouldn’t affect our attitudes or how we build. We actively avoid getting caught in the hype on the way up and avoid falling into depression on the way down.

We transformed “HODL” into “BUIDL,” and there was also short-lived talk of “SHIPL.”

However, refusing to engage in “price talk” doesn’t mean we can, or should, ignore the swings of the market. This ecosystem is highly speculative and our roadmaps, runways and design choices are affected by larger macroeconomic conditions. Denying that the market conditions affect your work, company, financials, and culture is willful ignorance and is dangerous in the short and long term.

2017: Unprecedented Hype

As we saw in 2017, the bull market garnered previously-unseen hype, which led to new, inexperienced users entering the space en masse. Coinbase was adding hundreds of thousands of new users per day. Companies were hiring support teams by the dozens in an attempt to tread overflowing inboxes.

The things we did in 2017 were reactionary. Building for the short term was prioritized over the long term.

We didn’t have refined processes or roadmaps — we had fires that needed to be put out yesterday. We hired those who were willing to wear many hats and didn’t require much sleep. We put band-aids on the most glaring user experience issues as they cropped up, and we promised to iterate later. The market’s ambitious upswing wasn’t tied to the technology and experience being delivered.

2018: The Downward Spiral

2018 was a whole new world. The number of support tickets dropped as fewer new users entered the space. The types of questions we fielded about ICOs plummeted and more technical questions emerged once again.

The members of my team who were solely fueled by the adrenaline of 2017 had to evolve or move on to different projects. Some even left the crypto-space entirely. Our hiring and recruiting practices evolved, and the skills and personality traits we looked for became more refined.

The actions users are taking in 2018 have changed as well.

Whether it was taxes, the SEC, a more bearish market or the realization that the scope of blockchain use cases is still limited, people aren’t doing much these days. Even when we look beyond the trading and investment activity via DappRadar and Dapp.com, we can see just how little activity is happening.

The market is questioning how “decentralized” applies to a world beyond us cypherpunks and early adopters. It’s a valid question that us builders should ask too.

2019: Blood in the Streets?

To steal from Anthony Pompliano (who likely stole it from someone else), there is no “blood in the streets” yet. The blood is coming, but it isn’t only from the individuals who have portfolios that are down more than 100 percent.

It is from anyone and everyone who failed to anticipate just how long this revolution would take. It is from people who didn’t believe in the possibility of a market crash or a long winter. It is the ICOs that had all their holdings in crypto. It’s from those who measure growth and value in terms of months, not years or decades.

More robust companies can reduce the sizes of their teams and cease throwing extravagant parties to lengthen their runways.

Less seasoned companies will have no choice but to shut down. And the most important companies are likely the ones you haven’t yet heard of or are yet to be created.

2019 & Beyond

The coming years have the potential for people to create real, revolutionary value. This will not be the short-term capital creation that ICOs brought in 2017. It will be significantly deeper, take significantly longer and it will spawn from unlikely sources.

Reacting to new users and irrational exuberance is a different ball game than building products that break down the barriers of cryptocurrencies. In order to be relevant and stay relevant, you have to do more.

Those that will have a lasting impact and create the most value will be those who can build for both the bull market, the bear market and beyond the market. They will have the foresight to expect the unexpected, the hindsight to learn from the past and the insight to solve problems in unprecedented ways.

They will use their teams, tools, knowledge and communities to not only build for the next wave of users, but also help bring in the next wave of users. They will not build “on the blockchain” or “for the blockchain.” They will build better solutions that happen to utilize the blockchain.

It’s easier to build products for your existing environment and existing users, but it is shortsighted and will leave you straggling in the long term. Look outside this space for inspiration. Learn from traditional companies who have been around for decades or even centuries. Take the time to understand the motivations and needs of people around the globe. Don’t make product decisions based on the graveyard of activity today. Don’t create personas based on a Twitter poll you spun up yesterday.

Look to the future and anticipate. Your job is no longer to react to the current conditions. It’s to be a fortune teller of tomorrow’s landscape.

Sparking the Revolution

Many point to the dot-com bubble when analysing the cryptocurrency markets in 2017.

Both saw 1,000 percent returns, rampant day-trading, fraud, capital flowing to any company with “.com” or “blockchain” in its name, and the creation of overnight millionaires even when those millionaires had neither delivered products nor profits. It’s an easy comparison. But it’s only one slice of history.

The repetition of history won’t manifest as a carbon copy of itself, so it’s hard to know exactly how this decentralized revolution will play out in totality. The revolution will be simultaneously subtle and profound. What we are building cannot be measured in months or judged by the hype cycles. We are aiming to transform nearly every industry that exists, starting with the financial industry.

The blockchain has come a long way since Satoshi’s white paper and it will take at least that long to disrupt life in a meaningful way.

We have to keep zooming out to keep our perspective wide. The dot-com bubble isn’t what transformed the internet, nor will the last two years be what transforms the blockchain. We need to look at the entire history of the internet and watch how it evolved over time. We need to examine how the Industrial Revolution managed to touch almost every aspect of daily life. We need to remember The Renaissance’s lasting influence on intellectual inquiry.

And, as we do, we should be intimidated by what we have yet to accomplish and inspired by the opportunity to forge the runway ahead. Remember, the real lift off has yet to occur.

 

Have a strong take on 2018?

 

Taylor Monahan

Dec 27, 2018 at 05:00 UTC

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

Bitcoin Look out for the Holiday Bear Trap

Bitcoin – Look out for the Holiday Bear Trap

Bitcoin – Look out for the Holiday Bear Trap

Bitcoin in positive territory early on, though will need to hit $4,000 levels to avoid a reversal later in the day.

 

Bitcoin slid by 5.58% on Tuesday, reversing Monday’s 1.67% gain, to end the day at $3,909.6, a first sub-$4,000 end of day since last Friday’s $3,976.

 

A broad based cryptomarket sell-off came at the start of the day, with Bitcoin sliding from an intraday high $4,155 to a morning low $3,827.9, the reversal seeing Bitcoin fall through the first major support level at $4,011.80 and second major support level at $3,882.9 before steadying.

 

Range bound through the 2nd half of the day, Bitcoin eased to an early afternoon intraday low $3,812.1 before recovering to $3,900 levels, an afternoon high $3,957.7 seeing Bitcoin come up short of $4,000 levels and to pin Bitcoin back from a break back through the first major support level at $4,011.80, leaving the bearish trend intact.

 

The Bitcoin bulls would have been hoping for another day of gains, off the back of the start of a week bounce from last week’s rally, the news wires hitting the majors in the early hours to give the bears the market for the day.

 

Tuesday’s sell-off saw the cryptomarket’s total market cap fall back to $131.52bn, while Bitcoin’s dominance held relatively steady, with sub-52% levels continuing to point to some further upside near-term, in spite of the extended bearish trend, formed at early May’s swing hi $9,999.

 

Get Into Cryptocurrency Trading Today

 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up 1.21% to $3,957.1, moves through the early morning seeing Bitcoin rise from a start of a day morning low $3,883.1 to a morning high $3,990.0 before easing back, the day’s major support and resistance levels left untested early on.

 

For the day ahead, a move back through the morning high $3,990 would support a run at $4,000 levels, while Bitcoin may come up short of the first major resistance level at $4,105.77 on the day, Bitcoin having failed to break out from $4,300 levels struck on Sunday.

 

Failure to move back through the morning high $3,990.0 could see Bitcoin pullback to $3,800 levels to bring the first major support level at $3,762.87 into play before any recovery, sub-$3,700 support levels unlikely to be in play through the day.

 

For the Bitcoin bulls, another positive week is going to be needed to support upward momentum going into the New Year, with Bitcoin needing to take a run at $5,000 levels by year end, else face the prospects of another January reversal.

 

With the holiday season in full swing, with volumes on the lighter side, though still well above levels seen in the first week of December, amidst the crypto sell-off, supporting Bitcoin and the broader market, though a failure to hold onto $3,900 through this morning could see investors pay later in the day and that’s never a good thing when the global equity markets are in meltdown mode.

 

 

Bob Mason

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

Bitcoin BTCUSD Technical Analysis -Prices climb up as the bulls are back in town

Bitcoin [BTC/USD] Technical Analysis -Prices climb up as the bulls are back in town

Bitcoin [BTC/USD] Technical Analysis -Prices climb up as the bulls are back in town

Bitcoin prices have been seeing a lot of bull rallies right from the start of December since the month holds a lot of sentiments from last year.

At the time of writing, the prices were trading at $4,180 with a market cap of almost $73 billion. The 24-hour trading volume can be seen holding strongly at a massive $7 billion.

Most of the trading volume comes from BitMEX via the trading pair BTC/USD, which contributes a whopping $2 million trading volume.

1 Hour

The uptrend for Bitcoin in the one-hour chart seems very bullish as it spans from $3,240 to $4,120, while the downtrend has diminished in size and length as it extends from $4,350 to $4,185. The support for Bitcoin is holding strong at $3,160, while the resistance points are seen hanging above at $4,240 and $4,345.

The Aroon indicator shows that the uptrend for Bitcoin reached the maximum level and is now slowly fading away as it declines towards the zero-line.

The stochastic indicator shows the same as Aroon, as the Stochastic lines reached the top-most level in a bullish crossover and are now heading down in a bearish crossover.

The Chaikin Money Flow shows an overflow of money into the Bitcoin markets as the CMF has hit the top, and is heading down.

1 Day

The downtrend for Bitcoin in the one-day chart extends from $9,800 to $4,140 without an uptrend erupting yet. The support for prices can be seen at $3,185 with resistance lines holding the prices from crossing at $8,385 – $7,360.

The Parabolic SAR markers are formed below the price candles which indicates a bullish future for the Bitcoin prices in the larger time frame.

The MACD indicator which had dipped during the sell-off is now recovering in an upward fashion after undergoing a bullish crossover that hasn’t ended yet. The histogram is lit up with green bars above the zero-line.

The Awesome Oscillator shows a bearish crossover as well with the bars that are extending above the zero-line.

Conclusion

The one-day chart shows a decline in Bitcoin’s prices after a brief rally, the same is indicated by the Aroon, Stochastic and the CMF indicators. The one-day chart for Bitcoin shows a positive outlook as indicated by Parabolic SAR, MACD and the Awesome indicators.

 

Published 7 mins ago on December 25, 2018

By Akash Girimath

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

Bitcoin approaches Christmas with solid gains

 Bitcoin approaches Christmas with solid gains

Bitcoin approaches Christmas with solid gains

  • Cryptocurrency market is consolidating with a positive bias.

  • Bitcoin and major altcoins had one of the best weeks this year.

Cryptocurrency market had a really good week as the overwhelming majority of top-10 digital assets managed to recover from this year lows. The total value of coins in circulation has reached $142 billion, which is about $40 billion higher than a week ago.

Bitcoin (BTC) gained over 30% since the recent low; however, the palm of victory belongs to Bitcoin Cash (BCH) that catapulted above $200 and returned to the fourth place in the cryptocurrency rating. The coin is 150% higher than a week ago. Tron (TRX) gained 65% to trade at $0.021 at the time of writing, while Ethereum (ETH) and EOS also became more expensive than a week ago. ETH/USD is trading at $150 after a short-lived spike above $154 handle; EOS/USD has settled marginally above critical $3.00.

A strong positive momentum improved forecasts, though some experts stay cautious. Thus, Peter Brandt, a 71-year-old trading veteran, said that Bitcoin's move above $4,000 was just a dead-cat bounce. He believes that the price will bottom out somewhere closer to $1,200. The cautious approach is understandable as the market has made several false recovery attempts during this year.

 

 

Tanya Abrosimova

FXStreet

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis – BTC Primed To Test 5000

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis -  BTC Primed To Test $5,000

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis – BTC Primed To Test $5,000

Key Points

  • Bitcoin price gained pace recently and broke the $3,580 and $3,780 resistances against the US Dollar.

  • There is a major symmetrical triangle forming with resistance at $4,080 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

The pair is likely to break the $4,080 and $4,150 resistance levels to rally towards $4,500 or $5,000.

Bitcoin price is placed in an uptrend above $3,580 against the US Dollar. BTC/USD is likely to extend the current bullish wave towards $4,500 or $5,000.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

This past week, bitcoin price started a solid upward move above the $3,200 resistance against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair surged above the $3,580 and $3,780 resistance levels. There was even a close above the $3,780 barrier and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). An intermediate high was formed near $4,175 and recently the price corrected lower. It broke the $3,900 level, but the $3,780 level acted as a solid support.

The price started a fresh upside and broke the $3,900 resistance. It even broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,175 high to $3,778 low. More importantly, there is a major symmetrical triangle forming with resistance at $4,080 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. The triangle seems to be a bullish continuation pattern towards the $4,175 and $4,300 levels. A successful break above the $4,100 and $4,150 levels is needed for further gains. Once there is a break above $4,175, the price could rally towards $4,500 or $5,000.

Looking at the chart, BTC price remains well supported on dips near the $3,900 and $3,780 levels. As long as there is no close above the $3,580 pivot, the price is likely to surge towards $4,200, $4,500 or even $5,000.

Looking at the technical indicators:

4-hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is about to move into the bullish zone.

4-hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is well above the 60 level.

Major Support Level – $3,780

Major Resistance Level – $4,175

 

AAYUSH JINDAL | DECEMBER 23, 2018 | 5:00 AM

 

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur

Bitcoin – Cup and handle in the making?

 

Bitcoin – Cup and handle in the making?

  • BTC in the process of making bullish cup and handle pattern.

  • Needs to consolidate recent gains for further gains to occur.

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurreny by market capitalisation, is in the process of forming a cup and handle pattern, which is a bullish sign for the prices. The only thing required is price consolidation to complete the formation of handle and then a breakout above the line of a cup.

BTC/USD is down seven cents of a percent at $3,814 and trading in less than 3 percent range for the day in a low volatility weekend trading – good sign for the cup and handle formation to take shape on 360-minute chart of BTC.

Prices have declined a bit after recent gains and few more bars of consolidation on this time scale and a breakout above $4,160-70 is all that the bulls need for the prices to break out. Target of this breakout would be around $5,200. But, for the longer price trend to change up, bulls will need some more strength to cross past $5,790, which is its 21 weeks SMA.

BTC/USD 360-minute chart:


 

Manoj B Rawal

FXStreet

 

Bitcoin - Cup and handle in the making?

Heiko Closhen, Entrepreneur